11 months ago
This is the last week of “exclusive” Bundesliga football since the Premier League is slated to return next week. I sincerely hope many FanTeam players will remain loyal to the German top-tier! So, without further ado, let's get to our recommendations.
With Müller and Lewandowski sidelined after their respective fifth yellow cards, Gnabry (Bayern, 15.2m) is expected to start up front. The only other competitor, Zirkzee, is a very promising talent who has flashed his skill this season scoring three goals in 184 minutes. However, post-Corona, he’s only seen 18 minutes despite some decisive victories, so if Gnabry recovers in time (please follow the news), he should be set to start. Even as a winger, Gnabry already has 22 goal involvements this season. Gladbach is no walk-over per se, but Bayern can make a walk-over out of any team, and you want to have some exposure to Bayern’s main man.
Sancho (Dortmund, 16.0m) disappointed when it comes to the score sheet last week. He failed to convert his 3 shots and 3 chances created into tangible Fantasy Points, which led to much disappointment among his many owners and should result in subdued ownership this week. Don’t be one to ignore him this week! His underlying stats look great (2.47xG + 1.34xA in only two games) since he returned to the starting eleven and he looks fresh according to the eye-test. Look for him to bounce back against the weak Düsseldorf side.
Seriously, again a pick from Augsburg? Sorry, I have to do it. Max (Augsburg, 8.6m) seems to carry great value this week. Mainz conceded “only” 9 goals in five games since the restart, but the underlying stats tell a different story. Based on that metric, they are the worst defense in the league in this time frame with over 2xG against per game. Over the season, they are particularly bad against set-pieces – an area Max has monopolized at Augsburg – with already 16 goals conceded this way. After scoring the important late equalizer against Cologne, Mainz seems like the perfect opponent to build on this performance.
Mittelstädt (Hertha, 8.0m) is my second pick in this category. The reasoning is simple: with Plattenhardt back from his concussion, he will probably play as an OOP winger. Frankfurt hasn’t looked stable recently (conceding two goals against Mainz – it could have easily been more) and his stats look solid. He started as a winger twice in the last five games, shooting five times and creating four chances. Being priced and scoring points as a defender, he seems to be a value pick.
There is not much explosive potential with Leverkusen’s defenders. However, being priced cheaper on average than Dortmund and Bayern, I actually think their CS potential is a little higher. Schalke has just been atrocious over the last weeks. Since the restart, they have scrapped only two goals and 2.71xG. If you double that, you get to Paderborn levels. Yikes. They look utterly clueless without their playmaker Harit. Against Union – a below-average side – they managed just four shots. Four. In total. And only one of those was in the box. YIKES. I had actually watched the game and, in hindsight, I could have used the time more wisely, like counting the tiles in my bathroom or setting myself on fire. You might want to go with the wing backs Sinkgraven (Leverkusen, 9.2m) + Weiser (Leverkusen, 9.3m), but since they are no Doherty + TAA, you might as well take any CB and pray for an odd corner goal.
Wolfsburg has been strong defensively this season. Especially at home. How strong? They lead the league in xGA at home ground. We have learned that we shouldn’t count on home advantages in ghost games, but Wolfsburg has quietly been a top-4 defense in xG against and goals against over the whole season (home+away) as well. There are better budget options than Freiburg this week.
Koalified fantasy sports enthusiast from Germany. Loves Fanteam almost as much as a good Weizenbier. Being a strategy manager by profession, he aims to translate these skills into Daily Fantasy Sports. After being one of the biggest winners in the early days of European DFS, he is aspiring to get back on top, with current net profits of over 35,000 Euros.