Football, Bundesliga Fantasy

11 months ago

Bundesliga FanTeam Monster Preview: May 30

The main daily fantasy tournament in the German Bundesliga will be held in the Pursuit format. The budget is increased up to 178 million and you get 0.4 points for every budget million SAVED. Another feature is the vice-captain whose points and price are multiplied by x1.5. The captain's points and price are doubled. Despite the fact that you can draft a team of Bundesliga stars, players with lower price and ownership but high-ceiling become much more important. Keep this in mind when building your team at FanTeam competing for €50,000 this weekend.

Before we highlight matchups wort considering for you fantasy selections, let's look at some important underlying stats for the past 3 game weeks.

 

Last 3 Gameweeks


5 teams with highest expected goals excluding penalties

Team NPxG 
RB Leipzig 7.8
Bayer Leverkusen 6.92
Eintracht Frankfurt 6.22
Hoffenheim 5.98
Bayern Munich 5

5 teams with lowest expected goals allowed excluding penalties

Team NPxGA
RB Leipzig 1.47
Borussia Dortmund 1.62
Bayern Munich 2.20
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2.83
Augsburg 3.28

Bayern and Borussia Dortmund are playing fringe teams with the likelihood of clean sheets and sky-high. Stacking players from the aforementioned teams is a no=brainer, so I will recommend less obvious options. What is more, it will be very useful as Pursuit mode is used for the main tournament where every million saved matters.

 

Clean sheet

Bookies odds

Team Cleansheet %
Bayern Munich 51
Borussia Dortmund 40
Borussia Monchengladbach 39
Hertha 35
RB Leipzig 33
Schalke 04 32
Wolfsburg 32

 

Option №1: Borussia Monchengladbach

After a fairly confident victory over Eintracht, Borussia were so attack-focused in the match against Bayer that they forgot to defend conceding three goals. Borussia's coach admitted to having made mistakes and they looked much more solid at the back in their next game. Borussia started the game against Werder with three defenders, aided by Christopher Kramer, playing as a defensive midfielder. Apparently, they wanted easy three points without exerting themselves too much. The Foals are looking to secure the fourth place with the Champions League pass to go with it. And the next game against low-flying Union should help them solidify their claim.

Union Berlin are not motivated. Thanks to the games before the break, the Berliners managed to make a comfortable point gap between them and relegation zone and now they are simply trying to hang in there. Union have the worst attack after the restart of Bundesliga - the number of chances created is disastrous: 0.53 xG and 2 shots on target per game on average.

 

Option №2: Werder Bremen

Prior to the restart of Bundesliga, Werder Bremen possessed the worst defense of the league. But something had clicked in the heads of the players after the defeat against Leverkusen, and they put on two showcase defensive displays. At first, Freiburg managed to create little against them — 0.72 xG, and in the next game, they didn’t allow Borussia Monchengladbach to do anything — 0.36 xG.

Schalke players have scored only two goals in their last eight matches (one after the Bundesliga restart). Wagner's team has a lot of possession but creates a minuscule amount of scoring chances — 0.58 xG on average. Schalke's crisis cannot continue forever, of course, but there has been no indication it stops here and now.

 

Goals

Bookies odds

Team ITM 1.5, %
Bayern Munich 86
Borussia Dortmund 70
RB Leipzig 64
Borussia Monchengladbach 59
Wolfsburg 53
Hertha 52
Hoffenheim 51

Best captains for Bundesliga daily slates

 

Option №1: Wolfsburg

After losing a home game against Borussia Dortmund, Wolfsburg had an excellent away game against Bayer Leverkusen: The Wolves managed to score as many as four goals against Peter Bosz's side, having conceded only one goal at the very end of the encounter. On the contrary, Eintracht managed to scrap their first point after the COVID pause only in their third game in an exciting draw against Freiburg ending 3:3.

A wolf can be an insatiable goal-scoring beast if fed correctly 

Wolfsburg are definitely on the rise now after a strong performance against Bayer. Their opponent in the coming game is experiencing defensive problems that are unlikely to be solved in a few days.

 

Option №2: Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim is a motivated team as they are fighting for the Europa League berth. But their game is far from consistent. After the restart, Hoffenheim managed to lose to Hertha, having created a lot of good chances. Then there was a lackluster draw against Paderborn. Schreuder’s team finally achieved success as Cologne was defeated on the road. After three matches, Hoffenheim is one of the best teams for expected goals created (2 xG on average per game).

Mainz were unable to find their way through the Union defense, who were one man down in the second half. That might indicate poor fitness levels which might play into the hands of Hoffenheim.

Moreover, Hoffenheim will definitely try to take revenge on Mainz for the defeat in their previous meeting.

 

Clean Sheets and Goals: Hertha

The appointment of Bruno Labbadia has transferred Hertha immediately. The Berlin team managed to defeat Hoffenheim on the road, scored four goals conceding none in the derby against the Union, and after that won a point in the away game in Leipzig. One more strong game from Herta and Jürgen Klinsmann will be forgotten in Berlin once and for all.

Augsburg's last results are modest, but their opponents are close in the league standings. In the middle of the week, Augsburg tied the game vs. Paderborn following a convincing victory over Schalke in Gelsenkirchen last week. But before that victory, Augsburg suffered four defeats in a row in the Bundesliga.

The Berlin team shows signs of revival as their game improves. Augsburg may be considered a strong opponent, but it will take much to beat inspired and in-form Berliners.

 
St.Louis
Author

St.Louis

IT-specialist. Humorist. Enthusiast. Thinker. Dreamer. Love fantasy as much as my girlfriend.

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