Bundesliga Fantasy

2 weeks ago

Bundesliga FanTeam Monster: May 16, Captain Tips

We are here again to give you some Bundesliga fantasy tips! The time has come to choose a captain in the upcoming Bundesliga €50000 FanTeam Monster, with a huge prize of 10k for the 1st place. Choosing the right captain is of utmost importance in DFS. Although a captain is only one of the eleven players you have to pick, without a proper captain your lineup is ruined. In this article, we will highlight our captain options in different categories, which include premium, differential, and ultra-differential options.

 

Premium

Robert Lewandowski (15.5)

There is no need to say a lot about Lewandowski. He is leading the Bundesliga’s scoring leaderboard once again being probably the best center-forward in the world. What I want to discuss is whether he is worth the money asked this slate. In order to justify his gigantic price tag, Lewandowski has to make 3 attacking returns. Is he capable of it? We know him as a scoring machine, so the answer is definitely yes. But what is the actual likelihood of this happening?

This Bundesliga campaign, Lewandowski made more than 2 attacking returns only twice (both games taking place in August).

The matchup he is facing looks good, but not a slam dunk his price suggests. Statistically, Union Berlin looks only slightly worse than a middle of the road team. Given that, if you are entering only a few lineups into the tournament, fading Lewandowski might be a better decision. On the contrary, if you are creating dozens of lineups, Lewandowski’s coverage is a must.

 

Erling Haaland (13.0)

The Norwegian kid was one of the most discussed football players in Europe before the pandemic took place. The reason is his scoring efficiency. He managed to score 9 goals in 8 Bundesliga games, having played only 510 minutes.

Haaland is given a 56% chance to score anytime

Again, the opposition he is facing is not leaky, and I generally don’t mind fading Haaland as well. Schalke sits in 6th place in the table and concedes a relatively low amount of goals. We also might eliminate the «derby» factor, usually meaning event-packed game, as there will be no spectators in the stadium.

Alternatives

  • Timo Werner (Leipzig, 14.0)
  • Jadon Sancho (Dortmund, 13.3)

 

Differential

Rouwen Hennings (Dusseldorf, 9.9)

The Fortuna Dusseldorf striker has 11 goals to his name this campaign, and he seems a decent differential captain option for me. Hennings is playing against the dead last Paderborn (2.16 GA per game on average), in a game Dusseldorf desperately has to win.

Hennings  is given a 42% chance to score anytime

Hennings is the designated penalty taker of his team, which could help him score more than once.

 

Mark Uth (Cologne, 10.4)

The winter transfer from Schalke to Cologne has allowed Mark Uth to restart his career. He already has 4 goals and 4 assists in 7 games for his new team. The underlying numbers of this player are stunning: 0.51 xG/90 + 0.57 xA/90.

Uth is given a 35% chance to score anytime

Uth’s quality to shoot a lot is also what catches the eye. In his last 5 games, he was averaging 4.8 shots per game. The home game against weak Mainz (2.12 GA per game on average) bodes well for Uth to flourish.

Alternatives

  • Marcel Sabitzer (Leipzig, 12.4)
  • Kingsley Koman (Bayern, 11.8)

 

Ultra-differential

Robert Skov (Hoffenheim, 8.2)

Captaining a defender in large GPPs isn’t generally a good idea, especially in tournaments like Bundesliga, but remember, this is the ultra-differential section. Moreover, the defender under consideration is playing in an out-of-position role, actually fielded as a winger. This means he earns extra points for his team’s clean sheets having a decent scoring potential at the same time.

Hoffenheim is given a 30% chance to keep a clean sheet 

This season, Skov already has 3 goals and 4 assists. His great attacking potential had been shown in his previous club – Copenhagen – where he scored 29 goals in 34 games of the last season. Skov is on Hoffenheim’s set-pieces as well. A couple of attacking returns, combined with his team keeping a clean sheet, can easily be resulted in Skov’s monster haul. That’s why he is worth considering as a captain and as a one-off complimentary player in your lineup.

 

Andre Silva (Frankfurt, 7.9)

Andre Silva is a very talented striker, who is best known as Cristiano’s partner in Portugal national football team. He is playing for Frankfurt this season, having registered 4 goals and 3 assists in 15 games played. The underlying numbers suggest that he is underperforming (0.59 xG/90 + 0.27 xA/90).

Andre Silva is given a 32% chance to score anytime

The matchup against Gladbach is a rather tough one, but the individual upside of Silva allows us to make such a high-risk/high-reward decision of captaining him. Silva has had a couple of hat-tricks in his career. Who knows, we might see the next one this week.

Alternatives

  • Angelino (Leipzig, 9.3)
  • Niederlechner (Augsburg, 8.1)
Khan
Author

Khan

Khan, a Ph.D. student in Economics, loves studying advanced sports analytics and using it to his advantage in DFS. Having started to play daily fantasy sports in 2017, he currently has a net profit of over 30000 euros. Sits in the top-3 of DFS-hockey players in Europe, finished 3rd in FanTeam's World Championship of Fantasy Football 2018.