Bundesliga Fantasy

1 week ago

Bundesliga FanTeam Monster: May 23, Captain Tips

We are here again to give you some Bundesliga fantasy tips! The time has come to choose a captain in the upcoming Bundesliga €50000 FanTeam Monster. Making the right captain choice is crucial to your daily fantasy success. In this article, khan — one of Fanteam's top all-time earners — will highlight captain options in different categories, which include premium, differential, and ultra-differential options.

 

Premium

Robert Lewandowski (15.0)

I feel more confident about Lewandowski this gameweek, although he is still a bit overpriced for me. He is playing at home this time, and that is the main boost for him. This Bundesliga campaign, Lewandowski registered double-digit fantasy points 7 times in total, 6 of them taking place in the home stadium.

Lewandowski is given a 75% chance to score.

Eintracht Frankfurt has a rather solid defense statistically, and seeing them playing terrible defensively in a game against Gladbach was a bit of surprise. The team is seemingly out of form right now, and I see Lewandowski scoring more than once here.

 

Timo Werner (14.0)

Werner has 21 goals and 7 assists to his name this season, which is the second-best result in the league. I am expecting a decline in his ownership after a disappointing performance from him last time.

Werner is given a 58% chance to score.

Mainz is a defensively weak team (the second-worst in GA in the league). In the first game after the break, Mainz allowed 2 goals and 2.76 xG to Cologne. Leipzig is going to have a similar number of chances here.

 

Differential

Alessane Plea (Gladbach, 10.8)

Plea is the main attacking force of Gladbach. He has 9 goals and 7 assists this season, and solid underlying numbers of 0.57+0.35 xG/90+xA/90 as well. He looked lively against Frankfurt, scoring the opener and shooting 5 times in total.

Plea is given a 37% chance to score.

Gladbach is averaging 2.6 xG at home this season (only Bayern creates more). The opposition — Leverkusen — gives up 1.7 xG on average in away games. Plea should get on the scoreboard here, probably more than once.

 

Jhon Cordoba (Cologne, 11.6)

Last time I mentioned Mark Uth in this section, but this time I would prefer his teammate Cordoba. It’s Cordoba who plays at the spear tip of Cologne’s attack, while Uth has playmaking duties, playing in a slightly deeper role. What I recommend here is captaining Cordoba, who is looking sharper, and including Uth as a part of the offensive stack.

Cordoba is given a 42% chance to score.

Cologne is facing Fortuna Dusseldorf, who are dead last in xGA in the league (52.91). Cordoba and Uth might easily earn multiple attacking returns here.

 

Alternatives:

  • Thomas Muller (Bayern, 13.7)
  • Nils Petersen (Freiburg, 10.1)

 

Ultra-differential

Jonathan Schmid (Freiburg, 7.9)

Although I am not expecting low ownership for Freiburg’s attacking defender, I am actually expecting him to be an ultra-differential captain option. Schmid has 4 goals this campaign, which is the 3rd result in his team.

Freiburg is given a 29% chance to keep a clean sheet.

Werder Bremen is ranked second to last in the table, and it seems the break hasn’t affected them at all. They lost to Leverkusen, by conceding 4 goals. Schmid will have chances to prove himself here, with a clean sheet a strong possibility as well.

 

Guido Burgstaller (Gelsenkirchen, 10.3)

Given Harit is injured, it opens the door to the starting lineup for Burgstaller. He hasn’t scored yet this season but possesses 3.99 xG numbers. He is averaging almost 3 shots per 90 minutes. The game against Augsburg screams of goals for the home side, and Burgstaller might be able to score a couple here.

Burgstaller is given a 30% chance to score.

Don’t be scared to pick Burgstaller and to captain him. There is a Safety Net rule active on FanTeam, so if he doesn’t start, one of Matondo or Gregoritsch will likely come out instead of him. The only thing you should make sure of is choosing a decent vice-captain option in such lineups.

 

Alternatives: 

  • Kingsley Coman (Bayern, 11.8)
  • Wout Weghorst (Wolfsburg, 7.4)

 

Fade of the week

Fading a player in DFS — ignoring him entirely for the slate due to inadequate pricing or other reasons.

Erling Haaland (Dortmund, 13.5)

Dortmund’s assets will be popular this week, after a huge win against Schalke, but I am not so eager about them. Especially about Haaland, I just don’t see how he will manage to justify his elevated price tag. Wolfsburg has a very tight defense, the second-best in Bundesliga. Dortmund’s away xG numbers are not enticing at all (only 19.97 xG in 13 games). Wolfsburg conceded just 12.29 xG at home in 13 games played. It’s an easy fade for me, especially given the ownership probabilities. There are lots of better options, and we mentioned some of them above.

We hope these tips lead you to success this week on FanTeam! Enjoy playing Daily Fantasy in Europe and become the best!

Khan
Author

Khan

Khan, a Ph.D. student in Economics, loves studying advanced sports analytics and using it to his advantage in DFS. Having started to play daily fantasy sports in 2017, he currently has a net profit of over 30000 euros. Sits in the top-3 of DFS-hockey players in Europe, finished 3rd in FanTeam's World Championship of Fantasy Football 2018.