Football

1 year ago

La Liga Land. Game Week 16 Preview

Hola, everyone! While players in England are busy playing midweek matches, athletes in Spain show their best only at the weekends. Let's proceed to the analysis of FanTeam and Bethard tournaments with solid guarantees on offer.

 

Fantasy La Liga GW 16 Matches

Home Away Odds to win O/U
Villarreal Atletico Atletico win 43% 2.0
Real Madrid Espanyol Real Madrid win 82% 3.5
Granada Alaves Granada win 44% 2.0
Levante Valencia Valencia win 44% 3.0
Barcelona Mallorca Barcelona win 86% 3.5
Eibar Getafe Eibar win 35% 2.0
Betis Athletic Betis win 42% 2.5
Valladolid Real Sociedad Real Sociedad win 42% 2.0 
Leganes Celta Leganes win 41% 2.0
Osasuna Sevilla Sevilla win 45% 2.5

 

PREMIUM

BARCELONA

Messi (15.2) – Suarez (14.2) – Sergi Roberto (11.4). 40,6% of the budget

This week all premium picks are either in Real Madrid or Barcelona, both playing at home against underdogs. The difference is that Espanyol earned 8 of their 9 points in away games while Mallorca hasn't scored a single one so far on the road.

Messi scored 13 goals in his last 12 games, received another Golden Ball, and is going to demolish Mallorca's defense.

Suarez and Griezmann are two complementary options to consider. I am inclined to pick the Uruguayan as the Frenchman seems to feel out of place in tiki-taka as things stand now. Statistically speaking, they have been performing on the same level with Luis having more shots (3.21 against 2.25 shots per 90, 4.28xG agaist 3.02xG) and Antoine assisting his partners more (0,80 against 0,94 key passes per 90, 0.84xA against 1.47 xA).

Sergi Roberto may serve as a good defensive option for your team. Bear in mind, he doesn't look as offensive-minded as he was in the previous seasons with 0 points for attacking actions in 5 games and only 0.12 xA.

 

VALUE

LEVANTE

Mayoral (8.3)  Campana (9.0). 17.3% of the budget

Levante has a home encounter against Valencia. Los Ches have performed well recently, but they have the most important game of the season after the Valencia derby – the match in Amsterdam for the ticket to the Champions League knockout round.

Levante is a strong side at home with attack prevailing over defense. Therefore, I advise you to pick Jose Campans, who is sitting in the 6th place in La Liga in xA (0.27xA/90).

It is tough to pick a forward out of this team as you have 3 different options. Jose Luis Morales used to be the main goalscorer for Levante for a couple of seasons, but now he plays as a deep-lying forward. Roger and Mayoral compose the usual pair of strikers for Levante, where Roger's main advantage is taking penalties. Borja's advantage is finishing most of the team's big chances. A very difficult decision with a slight lean towards Mayoral for me.

 

DIFFERENTIAL

LEGANES

En-Nesyri (8.6)  K. Rodrigues (6.0). 14.6% of the budget

A rather rare situation, but this week I ask you to pay your attention to Leganes in spite of their league position. They had spent three games under the new coach Javier Aguirre with only one point earned. But these were the games against Real Sociedad, Barcelona, and Sevilla. What is more, two of them were on the road. Now it's time to start moving on up from this critical point.

If you believe in Leganes, you can't go past Youssef En-Nesyri. He scored all three Levante goals this month being the only striker in the team with a secured spot in the squad.

Aguirre has implemented the system using wing-backs, so they are very interesting from the fantasy point of view. Roberto Rosales is suspended for the Gameweek and will be likely replaced by Kevin Rodrigues. Former Sociedad defender played only 6 games, but among defenders, he is the second-best in xA trailing only the abovementioned Rosales.


CAPTAINS

SAFE PICK


Leo Messi


The best player on planet Earth against Mallorca on a Saturday evening. 13 goals in his last 12 games. xA leader of the league.

 

ALTERNATIVE PICK


Alvaro Morata

There are a lot of alternative captains among players of Real Madrid and Barcelona. I suggest considering a completely different option — giving an armband to Alvaro Morata. Atletico are playing against Villarreal on Friday and most likely will have a lot of space for counterattacks. This is what Simeone's guys like and know how to pull off. Morata is the 2nd best in xG in La Liga, only Benzema has better stats.

 

DIFFERENTIALS

  • Sancet (Athletic, 5.3) — The young midfielder is going to replace the suspended Raul Garcia in the hole, a very cheap option for your team.

  • Ander Capa (Athletic, 6.1) — Ander is one of the most attacking defenders in the league, has already delivered 1 goal and 4 assists. Moreover, he plays for a rather defensive-minded Athletic, especially in away games.

  • Gorosabel (Real Sociedad, 5.0) — One more basque playing on the wing of defense. A cheaper alternative to Zaldua who has collected too many bookings for this period of the season.

 

CRyl7
Author

CRyl7

Sports fan and fantasy sports fanatic. Loves statistics and tries to find the right way of applying it in fantasy sports. Winner of Fanteam Premier League Experience Tournament in 2018.

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