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1 month ago

Fanteam Monster [GW38]: Set-Piece Analysis and Vulnerabilities

In these regular articles, I am taking a look at chances created and conceded by teams playing each other in the slate to unearth vulnerabilities. I also analyze set-piece data to capitalize on certain teams' weaknesses. We can use that data to complement research and ownership projections to build better and more balanced squads, hopefully taking our teams one step ahead of the opposition on FanTeam.

 

Chances Created & Conceded Analysis

Some teams create and concede more chances from a particular zone.

For example, Team #1 creates the most chances from the left flank and Team #2 concedes the most from the right flank. If they play against each other, we can use this factor and pick the player who plays on the left wing from Team #1. We understand that he might have a bigger upside than a player from the opposite flank.

Still, there are many important factors to consider on top of that like potential/value/ownership, etc. But the more useful information we have, the more flexible we are when making decisions.

Read more: Top Stacks for 100K Season Finale

Potential based on Created/Conceded Chances

Team Potential (Left Zone) Potential (Central Zone) Potential (Right Zone)
ARS Good Good  
BUR      
BHA Excellent    
BRE      
CRY   Excellent  
LEI   Excellent  
LIV      
MCI Excellent Excellent  
NOR      
CHE     Excellent
EVE      
NEW   Excellent  
WHU      
LEE      
MUN Good    
SOU      
WOL      
AVL      
TOT Excellent Excellent  
WAT      

 

Players with Strong Potential to deliver an attacking return (based on stats above)

CC (L) — Chances Created from the left flank in the last 4 matches
CC (C) — Chances Created from the central zone in the last 4 matches
CC (R) — Chances Created from the right flank in the last 4 matches

Set-Piece Analysis

Information about set-pieces and certain teams' vulnerabilities can be very useful for Weekly Monster's tournaments since it's something that is very often overlooked by many managers. 

For your convenience, we compiled this easy-to-read chart with every team going head to head ranked according to their set-piece taking and defending abilities. Every team below has 1 of 5 possible ratings for their attack & defence on set-pieces:

  • Excellent
  • Good
  • Average
  • Poor
  • Very Poor

This rating is based on how successful every team has been in terms of :

  • scored and conceded goals from set-pieces (goals from penalties excluded);
  • shots, headed attempts and conceded shots & headed attempts from set-pieces;
  • xG, xA & conceded xG on set-pieces.

These parameters don't change very quickly unlike other players' stats over the course of the season. I am looking at gameweeks 1-33 but I also consider recent stats in the last 6 gameweeks to make my rating. 

Team Attack Team Defence
ARS Average EVE Poor
BUR Good NEW Poor
BHA Poor WHU Poor
BRE Excellent LEE Poor
CRY Average MUN Average
LEI Very Poor SOU Poor
LIV Excellent WOL Average
MCI Excellent AVL Poor
NOR Poor TOT Poor
CHE Average WAT Very Poor
EVE Average ARS Average
NEW Average BUR Good
WHU Poor BHA Average
LEE Average BRE Average
MUN Average CRY Average
SOU Good LEI Poor
WOL Poor LIV Excellent
AVL Poor MCI Excellent
TOT Poor NOR Poor
WAT Average CHE Good


Teams with good chances to get and score from set-pieces:

  • Brentford (Tier 1)
  • Man City (Tier 1)
     
  • Burnley (Tier 2)
  • Southampton (Tier 2)
     
  • Arsenal (Tier 3)
  • Liverpool (Tier 3)
  • Chelsea (Tier 3)

Penalties

For those interested in penalties, although it's a rather random occurrence in a game of football.

Σ PEN — Penalties Scored + Conceded by Opponent

Teams with good chances to get and score a penalty:

  • Liverpool (Tier 1)
  • Tottenham (Tier 1)
     
  • Brighton (Tier 2)
  • Man City (Tier 2)
     
  • Chelsea (Tier 3)

Penalty Takers:

  • Salah → Milner → Fabinho (LIV). Each of this trio are expected to miss a coming match and it's totally unpredictable to determine who has higher chances to keep penalty duties.
  • Kane →  Son (TOT)
  • Maupay → Gross → Mac Allister (BHA)
  • Mahrez →  de Bruyne → Jesus → Sterling → Gundogan (MCI)
  • Jorginho → Mount → Havertz (CHE)

Historical Matchup Player Stats

Some players like to score against certain teams more often than others. It's a tricky psychological factor when a player might more confident knowing he had been successful against this opponent in previous games. And we can sometimes use this secondary factor when building our teams. It's important to understand that this factor can't be prioritized when building a lineup. First of all, we have to lean on things like stats, player's form, chance to score and etc.

The devil is in the details, as they say, so use this info while debating between two picks, for example. If you want to win Weekly Monster, little details such as this one can be very useful at times.

  • Maupay — 3 goals in 3 matches
  • Kane — 5 goals in 4 matches
  • Mane — 3 goals in 7 matches
Montafly
Author

Montafly

Matvey, also known as Montafly is a big fantasy fan, Excel master and music lover who likes making useful spreadsheets and digging up interesting statistics for fantasy games. He has been playing DFS since 2019 on FanTeam and for 10 years on FPL. FanTeam's 2019 Winter Championship of Fantasy Football finalist. FanTeam's 2021 Spring Championship of Fantasy Football finalist and prize-winner. 38th in FanTeam EURO 2020 £1M Game

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