Daily Fantasy

1 week ago

FanTeam's GW30 Monster Differentials

Weekly Monster is back after the international break with nine games making up the slate on FanTeam with €7.5k in line for the winner. Massive EPL tournaments are impossible to win without a batch of juicy differentials (players likely to be less than 10% owned), so let me share those who might make a difference this week.

Luke Ayling (Leeds, 9.5)

With Stuart Dallas (10.2) most likely a lot more highly owned in the same spot, pivoting up to the English defender is a nice way to differentiate your lineup. Ayling hasn’t registered any attacking returns this season yet but the matchup against Sheffield United may be exactly what the doctor ordered, as the Blades continue to struggle defensively. No team conceded more chances from the left flank of the pitch over the last 4 matches (19) than Sheffield. During that period, Ayling put up some good individual numbers as well: 9 penalty area touches, 3 shots (3 from inside the box), and 1 chance created.

Leeds are given a 42% chance to keep a clean sheet

Kelechi Iheanacho (Leicester, 6.6)

The Nigerian is top among all EPL forwards for shots (15), shots from inside the box (10), big chances (7), and trails only Kane in xGI (3.87 vs. 3.99) over the last  4 matches. Manchester City are his upcoming opponents, who are a good defensive team, but Iheanacho still might do some damage here.

Read more: FPL and FanTeam GW 30 Cheat Sheet

His recent form is too good (5 goals in the last 3 games), making is hard to ignore. He is a great point-per dollar play with decent upside against his old employers.

Iheanacho is given a 25% chance to score

Riyad Mahrez (Manchester City, 11.9)

Mahrez is another player from the Leicester - Man City game who might thrive against his former team. The Algerian racked up 8 attacking returns over the last 6 matches (4 goals and 4 assists), having featured 90 minutes in 5 of them. He is still a less obvious pick from the Citizens than De Bruyne and Sterling, the fact that will keep his ownership down. Overall, Manchester City are expected to score close to 2 goals against Leicester, and Mahrez definitely is a good play.

Mahrez is given a 35% chance to score

Danny Ings (Southampton, 10.4)

Since January 5th, Ings scored only once in the Premier League, meaning right now he is off the radar of a large amount of Fantasy players. The Englishman is seemingly back from his injury and gets a great matchup against Burnley this week. Over the last 4 matches, Burnley sit 19th in the league in big chances conceded  (12), whereas their 7.36 xG conceded are ranked 19th as well.

Read more: Reflecting on EPL Pre-season Predictions

Ings is still more than capable of producing big time, and I think he will be under-owned in the tournament.

Ings is given a 36% chance to score

James Rodriguez (Everton, 10.7)

As we know, when James is fit, he could be very explosive. He has 9 attacking returns in 18 games played for the Toffees this season. James might benefit a lot from The Eagles’ defensive woes in the set plays area, as only Leeds conceded more chances from set-pieces than Crystal Palace (18) over the last 4 matches. Gylfi Sigurdsson (10.5) is a nice backup for James in case the Colombian doesn’t start.

James is given a 26% chance to score

We hope these tips lead you to success this week on FanTeam! Enjoy playing Daily Fantasy in Europe and become the best!

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Khan
Author

Khan

Khan, a Ph.D. student in Economics, loves studying advanced sports analytics and using it to his advantage in DFS. Having started to play daily fantasy sports in 2017, he currently has a net profit of over 70000 euros. Sits in the top-5 of DFS players in Europe, finished 3rd in FanTeam's WCOFF 2018 and WCOFF 2020.

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