FPL

2 months ago

FPL Defenders & Goalkeepers: Understanding Points per Million

In the second of our new data driven articles, we once again looked at the concept of Points Per Million (PPM) and with us already covering both attack and midfield, it seems only fair to complete the set.

Once again, we are going to look at the 14 highest points scorers in a certain position but in this article, you are going to get two positions for the price of one, as we look at the case for the defence and the goalkeepers behind them.

The data is correct up until the games that were played on Sunday 12th July and with just three more gameweeks, this additional insight could be the difference between you claiming the silverware or facing last day despair.

 

FPL Defenders: Total Points Scored

Player

£

Points

Points Rank

Alexander-Arnold

7.8

196

1

Van Dijk

6.5

167

2

Robertson

7.0

165

3

Doherty

6.4

151

4

Stevens

5.1

139

5

Baldock

5.0

138

6

Lundstram

4.6

135

7

Tarkowski

5.2

134

8

Egan

4.6

130

9

Evans

5.3

125

10

Pereira

6.2

123

11

Soyuncu

5.0

120

12

Basham

4.6

119

13

Dunk

4.8

116

14

As you can see, and perhaps to the surprise of nobody, it is once again Liverpool players that rule this particular roost and with three of their championship-winning back four, locking out the top three places, it is testament to how good a season they have had.

Of course, winning points and prizes is great, but from an FPL point of view, there’s always the quest to extract value where possible. If we now take the same sample of players from a PPM point of view, the picture is far different.

 

FPL Defenders: Point per Million 

Player

£

Points

Points Rank

PPM

PPM Rank

Rank Compare

Lundstram

4.6

135

7

29.3

1

6

Egan

4.6

130

9

28.3

2

7

Baldock

5.0

138

6

27.6

3

3

Stevens

5.1

139

5

27.3

4

1

Basham

4.6

119

13

25.9

5

8

Tarkowski

5.2

134

8

25.8

6

2

Van Dijk

6.5

167

2

25.7

7

-5

Alexander-Arnold

7.8

196

1

25.1

8

-7

Dunk

4.8

116

14

24.2

9

5

Soyuncu

5.0

120

12

24.0

10

2

Doherty

6.4

151

4

23.6

11

-7

Evans

5.3

125

10

23.6

12

-2

Robertson

7.0

165

3

23.6

13

-10

Pereira

6.2

123

11

19.8

14

-3

 

Ultimately, the reason why PPM analysis is carried out is to look at where the diamonds in the rough are, and a look at this list suggests that you only need to look as far as Sheffield United and Bramall Lane.

Because of all the five Blades defenders that made our sample data, they all find themselves in the top five in terms of PPM.

Anyone who has not utilised any of Chris Wilder’s men in the world of FPL will have most likely paid an expensive price

Quite simply, any of the Sheffield quintet act as enablers for more luxurious transfers elsewhere and that is why a balance between them and Liverpool seems to be the perfect defensive template across the course of the season.

Especially as when you remove Sheffield United defenders from the equation, Van Dijk and Alexander-Arnold are the second and third highest-rated players from a PPM point of view and with savings made elsewhere, both these men can be drafted into your squad.

Therefore, if Liverpool and Sheffield United defenders come highly recommended from a PPM point of view, can the same be said for Allisson and Dean Henderson between the sticks? It is something that we are going to test in the next part of our research.

 

FPL Goalkeepers: Total Points Scored

Player

£

Points

Points Rank

Pope

5.0

160

1

Henderson

5.2

155

2

Schmeichel

5.5

148

3

Patricio

5.3

143

4

Dubravka

5.1

133

5

Guaita

4.9

131

6

Foster

4.9

126

7

De Gea

5.3

124

8

Ryan

4.7

123

9

Allisson

6.2

118

10

Ederson

6.0

116

11

Leno

4.8

114

12

Ramsdale

4.5

111

13

Pickford

5.2

107

14

 

As you can see, Henderson has been pipped to second in the points scoring charts, as Burnley’s Nick Pope currently is the keeper with the highest individual tally. Liverpool’s Allison only comes in at number 10 (although his points haul can be mitigated by injuries).

However, it is more the PPM angle that we are interested in, and therefore, lets now see what the same 14 keepers look like when we aim to find as much value as possible. A list that looks something like the one below.

FPL Goalkeepers: Point per Million

Player

£

Points

Points Rank

PPM

PPM Rank

Rank Compare

Pope

5.0

160

1

32.0

1

0

Henderson

5.2

155

2

29.8

2

0

Patricio

5.3

143

4

27.0

3

1

Schmeichel

5.5

148

3

26.9

4

-1

Guaita

4.9

131

6

26.7

5

1

Ryan

4.7

123

9

26.2

6

3

Dubravka

5.1

133

5

26.1

7

-2

Foster

4.9

126

7

25.7

8

-1

Ramsdale

4.5

111

13

24.7

9

4

Leno

4.8

114

12

23.8

10

2

De Gea

5.3

124

8

23.4

11

-3

Pickford

5.2

107

14

20.6

12

2

Ederson

6.0

116

11

19.3

13

-2

Allisson

6.2

118

10

19.0

14

-4

 

As you can see, part of our hypothesis was incorrect, and when you look at Allison’s PPM value, he’s arguably one goalkeeper you want to be steering clear of – even if the defence in front of him is incredibly good.

What is more interesting is that there is an extraordinarily strong connection between the highest points earners and their PPM value

If anything, it represents the highest correlation of each of the four positions in the game.

This means Pope and Henderson for that matter represent excellent value in terms of selection and either of these two should enable you to spend a far greater amount of money when looking further up the field.

What is also interesting is that the most expensive goalkeepers are representing relatively poor value for money and, therefore, selecting a slightly less fancied name should pay further dividends for your FPL team.

 

🔖 FPL Midfielders: Understanding Points per Million

🔖 FPL Attackers: Understanding Points per Million

Dan the Stat Man
Author

Dan the Stat Man

Armed with experience as a data analyst, Dan has become a successful writer during the past few years, combining his loves of football and statistics.