Football, FPL

1 week ago

Reflecting on DraftGym Crew Pre-season FPL Predictions

As the newest kid on the Draftgym block, I wasn't around for the pre-season predictions of where each team would finish. It's a good job too – I'm not sure I'd have done particularly well! But with it being the International break, it seemed a good opportunity to look back on what the Draftgym crew predicted in pre-season in terms of the Premier League table.

Did many predict that Manchester City would return to being the dominant force? How many people thought that Tomas Soucek and Jesse Lingard would lead a West Ham revolution? Did anyone manage to tip Chris Wilder's Sheff Utd to crumble and collapse? There are 9 gameweeks to go, let's see who is a soccer savant and who made their predictions with their eyes closed.

Stay tuned as we will be following up with some FPL predictions for the 9 remaining gameweeks in part 2 which will also include a 'readers prediction' competition with the chance to win some cool Draftgym merch! 

 

THE SCORING SYSTEM

It was supposed to lead to positive scores...

Each participant predicted the Premier League table from 1st to 20th. Time to see how well they knew their Premier League onions before a ball was kicked this season.

The points system for predictions is as follows:

Team in the correct position  5 points
Team 1 place away from the correct position 2 points
Team 2-3 places away from correct position 0 points
Team 4-5 places away from correct position - 1 point
Team more than 5 places away from correct position -3 points

Let's do this! 

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1st Place - MICHAILOVIC - 14 points

Leading the way...

  • 5 teams correctly placed - Man City (1st), Tottenham (6th), Leeds (11th), Burnley (15th), WBA (19th)
  • 2 teams within one place - Chelsea (predicted 3rd), Newcastle (predicted 16th)
  • 4 teams within 2-3 places - Man Utd (predicted 4th), Everton (predicted 10th), Brighton (predicted 13th), Fulham (predicted 20th)
  • 6 teams 4-5 places out - Liverpool (pred 2nd), Arsenal (pred 5th), Leicester (pred 7th), Wolves (pred 8th), Southampton (pred 9th), Palace (pred 17th)
  • 3 teams over 5 places out - Sheff Utd (pred 12th), Aston Villa (pred 18th), West Ham (pred 14th)

Let's face it. Nailing the place of 25% of the teams is pretty impressive, and I'm certainly not going to tear chunks out of the competition leader. After all, he finished 1st in FanTeam's season-long game two years ago while finishing 2nd last year!  It's safe to say that the positions of Sheff Utd, Aston Villa and West Ham have tripped up quite a few of the managers to follow, and a lot of the readers, I'm sure. Who knew that David Moyes would be reincarnated? Sheff Utd getting a severe dose of second season syndrome might have been something that we should have seen - but I don't think many of us did. Congrats leader, but there are still 9 gameweeks to go... 

Read more: Winning €45,000 in FanTeam's Season-Long Game

2nd Place - KJIIOIIKA - 12 points

Right in contention... 

  • 4 teams correctly placed - Man City (1st), Leeds (11th), Burnley (15th), Newcastle (17th)
  • 5 teams within one place - Chelsea (predicted 3rd), Tottenham (predicted 5th), Everton (predicted 7th), Fulham (predicted 19th), WBA (predicted 20th)
  • 3 teams within 2-3 places - Man Utd (predicted 4th), Arsenal (predicted 6th), Brighton (predicted 14th)
  • 3 teams 4-5 places out - Liverpool (pred 2nd), Wolves (pred 8th), Southampton (pred 9th), 
  • 5 teams over 5 places out - Leicester (pred 10th), West Ham (pred 12th), Sheff U (pred 13th), Aston Villa (pred 16th), Palace (pred 18th)

The head of content is right in contention and if a couple of his teams in the bottom category switch over, he could very easily take the lead. It seems pretty likely that Palace will fall from their lofty position of 12th prior to the end of the season, and that could swing the game back in Alexey's favour. But can Newcastle hold off Fulham? It's pretty impressive for 9 of the 20 teams predicted to be within 1 place of being correct. I bow down to the knowledge... 

3rd Place - TTriBL - 11 points

Very much in the race... 

  • 3 teams correctly placed - Man City (1st), Tottenham (6th), WBA (19th)
  • 4 teams within one place - Chelsea (predicted 3rd), Everton (predicted 7th), Burnley (predicted 14th), Newcastle (predicted 18th)
  • 5 teams within 2-3 places - Man Utd (predicted 4th), Leeds (predicted 9th),  Wolves (predicted 11th), Brighton (predicted 13th), Fulham (predicted 20th)
  • 6 teams 4-5 places out - Liverpool (pred 2nd), Arsenal (pred 5th), Leicester (pred 8th), Southampton (pred 10th), Sheff U (pred 15th), Palace (pred 16th)
  • 2 teams over 5 places out - West Ham (pred 12th), Aston Villa (pred 17th)

TTriBL – FanTeam's all-time leader in profit with €200K+ won, could be the big mover in the pack – the difficulty is just which way he moves. With most of his picks in the middle 3 categories, it just takes a couple of moves in either direction to swing the score massively. He was the closest in the group to getting Sheff Utd right, and the other positive is that Man City and WBA are unlikely to change, meaning he may have 10 points secured. He's my prediction to take the win at the end of the season... 

Read more: DraftGym Crew EPL 20/21 Predictions

= 4th Place - FPL Mode - 3 points

Don't let him teach you anything... 

  • 4 teams correctly placed - Man City (1st), Chelsea (4th), Newcastle (17th), WBA (19th)
  • 2 teams within one place - Man Utd (predicted 3rd), Everton (predicted 7th)
  • 5 teams within 2-3 places - Spurs (pred 8th), Southampton (pred 11th), Brighton (pred 13th), Palace (pred 16th), Fulham (pred 20th)
  • 3 teams 4-5 places out - Liverpool (pred 2nd), Arsenal (pred 5th), Leeds (pred 15th), 
  • 6 teams over 5 places out - Wolves (pred 6th), Burnley (pred 9th), Leicester (pred 10th), Sheff U (pred 12th), West Ham (pred 14th), Villa (pred 18th)

Shit, that's a lot of teams to be very wrong about... still, those of us that know FPL Mode will know he's probably predicted 10 other league tables for 10 other competitions. Some good shouts here but Wolves to finish in the top 6 and a Sean Dyche inspired Burnley to cruise into the top 10 doesn't seem likely. Maybe if someone found a pub for Dyche to go to, the morale boost might get them there. But before I rinse him for being at least 4 places out with 9 teams, I'd like to congratulate FPL Mode on finding out he's going to be a father for the 2nd time. Congratulations! At least you aimed right there even if you didn't with 45% of your predictions.

 

= 4th Place - FPL Corf - 3 points

Maybe he should have done a thread... 

  • 3 teams correctly placed - Man City (1st), Spurs (6th), Burnley (15th)
  • 4 teams within one place - Chelsea (predicted 3rd), Newcastle (predicted 16th), Fulham (predicted 19th), WBA (predicted 20th)
  • 3 teams within 2-3 places - Man Utd (pred 4th), Everton (pred 10th), Leeds (pred 13th)
  • 5 teams 4-5 places out - Liverpool (pred 2nd), Arsenal (pred 5th), Leicester (pred 8th), Southampton (pred 9th), Brighton (pred 12th), 
  • 5 teams over 5 places out - Wolves (pred 7th), West Ham (pred 11th), Sheff U (pred 14th), Aston Villa (pred 17th), Palace (pred 18th)

50% of teams at least 4 places out. Yikes. Did we all think that Adama Traore was going to be the best player in the Premier League this season before he decided to revert back to the Aston Villa/Middlesbrough version? Being honest, I don't think there are any particularly awful predictions here. The Aston Villa one looks like it might be but let's face it, If they sold Grealish in the Summer, they'd be 17th at best. Besides, if you think 3 points is bad.....

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6th Place - FPL Pup - minus 14 points

THAT'S...MINUS...NEGATIVE...LESS THAN ZERO.

  • 1 team correctly placed -  Tottenham (6th)
  • 4 teams within one place - Man City (pred 2nd), Chelsea (pred 3rd), Fulham (pred 19th), WBA (pred 20th)
  • 4 teams within 2-3 places - Man Utd (pred 4th), Everton (pred 10th), Brighton (pred 14th), Newcastle (pred 15th)
  • 3 teams 4-5 places out - Arsenal (pred 5th), Burnley (pred 11th), Leeds (pred 16th)
  • 8 teams over 5 places out - Liverpool (pred 1st), Wolves (pred 7th), Southampton (pred 8th), Leicester (pred 9th), Sheff U (pred 12th), West Ham (pred 13th), Villa (pred 17th), Palace (pred 18th)

Well...it's a good job, he's a nice guy and writes good content. And he's a pup. Nobody can be mean to a pup can they? Liverpool to win the league (not unreasonable, but yeah...only 25 points away. Sheff Utd to finish above West Ham (35 points the gap....) and another that fell into the Wolves trap. Oh well, I'm sure it'll get better in the last 9 gameweeks....right?

 

Part 2 will come tomorrow - we will have a host of managers making predictions about the last 9 gameweeks of the season - and we will also be opening up a predictions competition for readers to try and win some new DraftGym merchandise. So get your thinking caps on for what remains of the FPL season, make sure you enter and make sure you aren't as bad at predictions as FPL Pup, eh? See you tomorrow...

Rob Pick
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Rob Pick

The latest addition to the DraftGym crew, FPL veteran and the Debate grandmaster.

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