FPL

2 weeks ago

FPL Underachievers: Goalkeepers

With the first international break hurdle of the season now cleared, the anticipation for week 5 of the Premier League season is increasing and with just enough time to make those final few changes, this article should be able to aid you along the way.

For those avid readers, you will be aware that we have been carrying out some analysis regarding underachievers and which players are not living up to their early potential in terms of their current FPL market value.

On a position by position basis, we’ve been able to highlight who to avoid in the final third of the pitch and with this form of analysis, done the same for those who operate in either the midfield or defensive portions of the playing field.

Which means our focus now turns to those who ply their trade within the goalposts and have the all-important task of keeping the opposition attack at bay, as they throw their bodies into the line of fire.

Yes, this means we now focus on the goalkeepers and just as before, we are going to create two ranks to get us started.

Read more: FPL Underachievers: Defenders

Value Rank & Points Rank

The highest valued player in each position will be given rank 1 and the same for the highest points scorer in each position will also be given rank 1, while this means if the most expensive player per position scores the most points, there will be a positive correlation.

Of course, with only one goalkeeper being able to play at any one time, it means the sample size is going to be far smaller than any of the other three positions in the game and this means only 24 men have qualified for further analysis.

To qualify they must have scored at least 1 point (in doing so, it removes all the second and third choice shot-stoppers who are yet to represent their club and this means, the data set is not negatively skewed either)

Before we look at those who are underachieving, we should first look at the top 10 highest points scorers, to see if we can learn any initial information:

Player

Team

Pos

Value

Points

Value Rank

Pts Rank

Diff

Martínez

AVL

GKP

4.6

22

17

1

16

Darlow

NEW

GKP

5

19

8

2

6

Alisson

LIV

GKP

6

17

1

3

-2

McCarthy

SOU

GKP

4.5

17

18

4

14

Patrício

WOL

GKP

5.5

16

3

5

-2

Fabianski

WHU

GKP

5

15

9

6

3

Guaita

CRY

GKP

5

15

10

7

3

Meslier

LEE

GKP

4.5

15

19

8

11

Leno

ARS

GKP

5

14

11

9

2

Schmeichel

LEI

GKP

5.5

12

4

10

-6

On the evidence of this table, Emiliano Martinez’s move from Arsenal to Aston Villa has not only paid dividends for the Argentine on a personal level, but also for those who have backed him in the fantasy realm.

He is currently the highest point-scoring keeper and has a positive difference of 16, the highest of all the top 10. However, the same rosy picture cannot be painted for Allison or Kasper Schmeichel as they are returning negative differences.

Of course, they are still returning a decent amount of points – although for Allison, this will be halted due to his current injury and he may prove to be not so worthy of his 6.0 value at present. Then again, one must ask that when fit, is he too good to leave out?

This top 10 has also uncovered two more rough diamonds, as both Alex McCarthy and Illan Meslier have exceeded their value rank in terms of points and are returning positive differences of 14 and 11, respectively.

Then again, we’re not here for the good news stories and now it is time to look at the bad, as we now reveal the top 10 underachieving goalkeepers after week four of this new Premier League season.

 

Top 10 Underachieving Goalkeepers

Player

Team

Pos

Value

Points

Value Rank

Pts Rank

Diff

Ederson

MCI

GKP

6

6

2

16

-14

de Gea

MUN

GKP

5.5

2

7

21

-14

Pope

BUR

GKP

5.5

4

6

19

-13

Lloris

TOT

GKP

5.5

9

5

12

-7

Schmeichel

LEI

GKP

5.5

12

4

10

-6

Caballero

CHE

GKP

4.9

1

16

22

-6

Arrizabalaga

CHE

GKP

4.9

4

15

20

-5

Mendy

CHE

GKP

5

6

14

17

-3

Alisson

LIV

GKP

6

17

1

3

-2

Patrício

WOL

GKP

5.5

16

3

5

-2

Just like the defenders, this table suggests that you may want to steer clear of Manchester when looking to select a goalkeeper, as both Ederson and David De Gea are the joint highest underachievers at present.

The indifferent starts for both Manchester City and Manchester United are reflected in the early points tallies and on the early evidence, it would be rather prudent to avoid the Etihad or Old Trafford for your no.1.

Staying in the North West, it is not much better news for Nick Pope and with Burnley failing to earn a point before the international break, this usual safe pair of hands is no longer looking as steady as he once was.

The top three are showing sizeable negative differences when you consider that the sample size itself is rather small compared to the other positions and this reinforces why these goalkeepers should not be on your shopping list.

While the same can be said for Hugo Lloris, as even though Tottenham look blistering in attack, the North London have looked somewhat susceptible at the back and because of this, the French World Cup winner has been punished in terms of rank comparison.

At 5.5 he and Kasper Schmeichel find themselves priced too high in terms of current value for the points they have earned and the same can be said for Wovles’ Rui Patricio, as the Midlands outfit have had a shaky start to the season.

Amazingly all three Chelsea goalkeepers make this underachiever list, although it would be unfair to lump them all together. In terms of Willy Caballero and Kepa Arrizabalaga, they certainly have lived up to the poor performance theme of this article.

While as far as new signing Eduoard Mendy is concerned, his solitary performance thus far is just the beginning of what should be a lengthy stint in the Stamford Bridge goal and therefore, he should not be ruled out just yet in terms of selection.

Read more: FPL GW5 Captains

Summary

And there we have it, our analysis of the underachievers for not just the goalkeepers but the other three positions across the series. Hopefully, this will have now armed with you enough information to make some smart decisions before the Premier League returns this weekend.

Dan the Stat Man
Author

Dan the Stat Man

Armed with experience as a data analyst, Dan has become a successful writer during the past few years, combining his loves of football and statistics.