1 month ago
The traditional Weekly Monsters with €50,000 up for grabs can be found Fanteam's lobby. The €2 Monster is also on offer with a prizepool of €12,500 this week, making it a great place to start for someone just beginning their fantasy journey. Lots of captains to consider despite only 7 games this slate with the Tottenham-Brighton match canceled due to a COVID outbreak in the Spurs camp.
Liverpool (home vs Aston Villa), Chelsea (home vs Leeds) and Manchester United (away vs Norwich) scream goals. In fact, all three teams are projected to score 2+ goals by the bookies, making Salah, Ronaldo and Lukaku stand-out captaincy options many will target. Leicester and Arsenal, to an extent, have favourable home matches and might provide a cheeky captain differential if you dare go against the grain.
What is interesting, the transfer budget for this week in 105 million, making it impossible to squeeze in all your premiums — it will make the drafting process very interesting with many hard decisions to make. That's what we like fantasy for, well making an additional buck won't hurt either, so take a look at players that can make a difference for your squads this week.
The budget is set at 105 mln., with 7 games making up the slate. Let's jump right into it.
vs Villa, HOME
The league’s best attack (2.40 npxG and 19.13 shots/90) will be testing a much sturdier Villa’s defense. Gerard has started his tactical tweaks by making sure it’s nice and tidy at the back - over the past 4 gameweeks Villains are ranked 4th in xG conceded/90 (0.87) and shots/90 (11.75). Will the new organizational principles and newly-found confidence be enough to stop the trio is averaging more than 1 big chance each! per game this season? I am not so sure. Only Calvert-Lewin can better that with 1.3 big chance/90 with Ronaldo’s 0.8 big chance per 90 the next in line.
Wolves, backed up by their home supporters, made in difficult for Liverpool last weekend, but the Reds still had an impressive 2.06 xG and 17 shots despite breaching Sa just once.
Across the last four gameweeks, Jota betters Salah for xG (4.01 to 3.07) and big chances (7 to 5), while being tied for shots (15). If you believe Liverpool to score many in this fixture, Jota might be your differential captain. He is around 20% less owned than Salah in weekly monsters, while he is captained 4-6 times less than Salah on average.
Alexander-Arnold (12 chances created, 2.05 xA, 3 assists in the past four gameweeks) or Mane can complete your 3-man stack here.
Liverpool are projected to score 2.5 goals
vs Leicester, away
My "play the opponent" mantra kicks in once again. And it's Newcastle's match again I am going to apply it to. Leicester are last in terms of xG conceded/90 across the last 4 gameweeks (CHE,WAT, sou, avl), conceding 2.22 xG per game along with 11 shots in the box (3rd-worst).
Newcastle have averaged 1.15 xG/90 in their last four games and are starting to show more attacking intent under Howe with Shelvey dictating the play from deep.
Wilson is the pick of the bunch, leading the team with 0.47xG/90, 2.50 shots in the box/90 and 0.75 big chances/90. He is on penalties, which strengthens his appeal. Saint-Maximin is another stack option as usual, although Almiron had an electric game on the right wing against Burnley, firing 6 shots. He might be your ultimate differential, provided he starts, of course.
Newcastle are projected to score 1.1 goals
vs Burnley, away
West Ham’s defensive assets are prices kindly in their away match against Burnley. The hosts are 19th for xG created across the last four gameweeks, averaging a measly 0.63xG/90. The Hammers are ranked in top-10 for many defensive metrics this season, while being mediocre in their last 4, averaging 1.40 xG conceded/90 and 15.50 shots/90 (16th).
Zouma and Ogbonna are out injured, which doesn’t add any solidity to their back line, but Hammers have been rather good on set-pieces this season, while Burnley have been quite the opposite. Burnley have conced 29 headed attempts following a set-piece situation (dead-last) and 5 goals (14th). If money is tight, Diop is a nice alternative to Cresswell.
West Ham have an aerial threat in Dawson (11 shots, 0.50 xG this season) and Creswell (if fit) is on set-pieces and corners with 16 chances created and 6 shots.
Bowen is on fire putting up impressive stats of late. He is averaging 2.25 shots/90 (1st) and 0.25xG/90 (1st) across the last four. He is also on some set-pieces, which makes this the ultimate combo against Burnley.
West Ham are given a 32% chance to keep a clean sheet
vs Southampton, HOME
While the Gunners recent defensive displays have been far from perfect (9 goals conceded in 4 games), their home defensive record is solid this season, with 1.03 xG conceded/90 (5th) and the only loss to Chelsea in GW2.
Southampton’s offense is rather hard to predict, but I am expecting Arsenal to grab the bull by the horns after two successive defeats and dispatch Southampton in front of their crowd.
The defense is priced a lot kinder compared to other premiums, while still having a 40% chance to keep a clean sheet. What is more - Gabriel is an aerial threat and Southampton are mediocre at defending set-pieces (20 shots and 4.48 xG conceded).
Gabriel has 9 shots, 1 goal and 0.55 xG this season, while Tierney seems to be back to the starting lineup after recovering from an injury. We know he can be electric down the left-hand side, delivering crosses into the box and just being a threat.
Odegaard is on corners and has averaged 2.50 chances created over the last 4 gameweeks. He is 1 million less expensive than Smith-Rowe and Saka, and given the 105 million budget, every penny will count this gameweek.
Arsenal have a 40% chance to keep a clean sheet
Alexey, also known as KJIIOIIIKA, has been playing daily fantasy football since 2015 on various European sites. Scratches his fantasy itch on FanTeam, where he has a net profit of €6000+ with more than 2500 tournaments played and a 30%+ ROI. FanTeam's 2018 World Championship of Fantasy Football finalist. As Head of Content at DraftGym, his mission is to help our young European fantasy community grow. A proud father of two, plays ice-hockey at the regional level, loves board games.